In 2022, analyze the "change" of global market trends.

  Xinhua News Agency, Beijing, January 1st Special feature: 2022, Analysis of the "change" of the global market trend

  Xinhua news agency reporter

  Looking back on 2021, the world economy gradually recovered from the impact of the new epidemic. Under the background that developed economies generally maintained loose monetary policies and many countries continuously introduced economic stimulus plans, the market liquidity was abundant, investors’ risk appetite was enhanced, and the prices of major assets in the international market mostly rose but fluctuated obviously.

  Looking forward to 2022, the epidemic situation in COVID-19 may still fluctuate repeatedly, and the prospect of world economic recovery is facing great uncertainty. The epidemic situation, inflation trend, fiscal and monetary policy trend and geopolitical situation are the key variables affecting the asset prices in the international market. With the increase of market variables, the risk increases. How to arrange assets to preserve and increase their value and test the wisdom of investors.

  Will the dollar rise again?

  In 2021, the expected warming of the US Federal Reserve’s tightening monetary policy, the rapid recovery of the US economy, and the repeated innovations in the stock market all worked together to push the US dollar exchange rate upward. On December 31st, the US dollar index, which measures the US dollar against six major currencies, closed at 95.5916 points, up 6.2% compared with the end of 2020.

  At present, the "hawkish" stance of the Federal Reserve has become clearer, and the uncertainty faced by global economic growth has increased under repeated epidemics. Market research institutions believe that there is still room for the US dollar exchange rate to rise in 2022 under the resonance of many factors such as the weakening of the world economic recovery and the differentiation of monetary policies in major developed economies.

  On December 7, 2021, people were shopping in a supermarket in new york, USA. (Xinhua News Agency reporter Wang Yingshe)

  Wells Fargo Securities Co., Ltd. issued a report saying that in view of the fact that the pace of tightening monetary policy in the United States is expected to be faster than that in most other developed economies, the agency has raised its expectation of dollar appreciation in 2022 and 2023. The Global Research Department of Bank of America predicts that the US benchmark interest rate will reach 2.5% by the beginning of 2024, while the interest rates of low-risk currencies such as euro, Japanese yen and Swiss franc are still difficult to normalize, which will support the strengthening of the US dollar.

  Georgieva, managing director of the International Monetary Fund, said recently that the IMF is considering lowering its forecast for world economic growth in 2022 due to the global spread of the mutant Omicron strain in Covid-19. Analysts believe that the slowdown in world economic growth will reduce investment opportunities, weaken market risk appetite, and highlight the safe-haven currency attribute of the US dollar.

  Experts pointed out that the further appreciation of the US dollar has a negative impact on global asset prices and the global economy, especially the recovery of emerging market economies.

  Can the price of gold heat up

  In 2021, under the background of repeated global epidemics and loose monetary policy, gold as an investment haven was not as popular as expected. On December 31st, the main contract of the New York Mercantile Exchange gold futures closed at $1,828.6 per ounce, down about 3.5% from the end of 2020.

  For the future trend of gold prices, there are obvious differences in market views. Factors such as global monetary policy, inflation level, recovery trajectory and epidemic development will determine the trend of gold price, but these restrictive factors affect each other and have large variables, which may aggravate the fluctuation of gold price.

  ANZ predicts that with the withdrawal of major economies from monetary easing and economic stimulus plans, the price of gold will lose some support in 2022, and the trend will be strong first and then weak, with an annual average price of around $1,725 per ounce.

  On September 1, 2021, at Chow Tai Fook Store in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong, the clerk introduced the "Inheritance" series of gold ornaments to the guests. (Photo by Xinhua News Agency reporter Wu Xiaochu)

  Ivy Hambro, an executive of BlackRock, an asset management giant, believes that inflation will run through 2022. If the trend exceeds expectations, the real interest rate after the interest rate hike will not increase significantly, and may even decrease, thus further highlighting the investment value of gold.

  The World Gold Council predicts that the gold market will remain volatile in 2022 due to the combined effects of global monetary policy and inflation trend, and periodic fluctuations may occur frequently.

  Which stock market is better?

  Thanks to the recovery of the world economy, the improvement of corporate profits and abundant liquidity, most of the major global stock markets rose in 2021.

  With the support of loose monetary policy and unprecedented fiscal stimulus measures, European and American stock markets performed relatively strongly in 2021, among which the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite Index in new york rose by 26.89%, 18.73% and 21.39% respectively. The Financial Times average price index of 100 stocks in London stock market rose by 14.3% for the whole year. The Nikkei stock index rose 4.9% for the whole year.

  Under the influence of the Fed’s expectation of tightening monetary policy, some emerging market economies are facing the pressure of capital outflow, and the stock market is dragged down. In 2021, the bovis Pa Index in Sao Paulo, Brazil, fell by 11.93%, ending the upward trend for six consecutive years since 2015.

  How will the global stock market evolve in 2022? Analysts believe that countries have different recovery paths, different policy spaces and different stock market trends. Tightening monetary environment and repeated epidemics are the main risks faced by global stock markets. Geopolitical factors such as mid-term elections in the US Congress and general elections in Brazil will also have an impact on the stock market trend.

  Larry benedikt, the founder of the market research organization Speculator Company, predicts that the major stock indexes of the US stock market may decline to varying degrees in 2022.

  On May 12th, 2021, a trader worked in new york Stock Exchange. (Xinhua News Agency, courtesy of NYSE)

  The German Business Daily believes that the share prices of German listed companies were undervalued in 2021, and it is estimated that the DAX index of Frankfurt stock market will rise by about 12% in 2022. Ulrich Cartel, chief economist of Deka Bank, Germany, believes that if the epidemic control measures in Germany continue until the spring of 2022, it will have a great impact on the economy and the stock market may be drastically revised.

  Ueno Gangzhi, a researcher at the Institute of Japanese Basic Studies, predicts that with the gradual recovery of Japan’s economy and the improvement of corporate performance, the Tokyo stock market will continue to rise in 2022, and the Nikkei stock index is expected to rise above 30,000 points by the end of the year.

  Joelson Sampaio, an economist with the Vargas Foundation in Brazil, said that the Fed’s interest rate hike will make funds withdraw from emerging market countries, and the Brazilian stock market may fluctuate greatly in 2022 due to factors such as the Brazilian presidential election.

  How high can oil prices go up?

  Against the background of shortage caused by supply constraints and strong demand, the international crude oil price fluctuated upward in 2021. On December 31, the main contracts of the New York Mercantile Exchange light crude oil futures and London Brent crude oil futures closed at 75.21 and 77.78 US dollars respectively, rising by about 55% and 50% respectively.

  Looking forward to 2022, although the market is bullish, the oil price trend still faces high uncertainty.

  The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) recently released a report, maintaining the expectation that the world’s average daily oil demand will increase by 4.2 million barrels in 2022, and holding that Omicron’s influence on oil demand will be moderate and short-lived.

  On November 17, 2021, people lined up at a gas station in Mississauga, Ontario, Canada. (Xinhua News Agency, photo by Zou Wei)

  Goldman Sachs Group predicts that with the rising demand in aviation, transportation and infrastructure, oil demand will reach a new high in 2022 and 2023. Damien Courvalin, head of energy research at Goldman Sachs, believes that Omicron has limited impact on the economy, and the Brent crude oil futures price will remain at around $85 per barrel in 2022 and 2023. If the supply cannot keep up with the demand growth, the oil price may exceed $100 per barrel.

  The US Energy Information Administration predicts that the supply growth of major oil-producing countries will exceed the global oil consumption growth in 2022, and the annual average price of Brent crude oil futures will be around $70 per barrel due to the new mutation Covid-19 disturbing the market. (Note holder: Ouyang Wei; Participating reporters: Xu Chao, Du Jing, Fan Yu, Liu Yanan, Pan Lijun, Liu Chunyan, Shen Zhonghao, Luo Jing, Yang Hairuo, Yan Jing, Geng Pengyu, Kang Yi, Xu Jing)

Central Meteorological Observatory: The rainfall in the south enters the strongest period, and the strong cold air affects China from west to east.

  Cctv newsAccording to the website of the Central Meteorological Observatory, the rain in Sichuan Basin, Hunan, Jiangxi, Fujian and other places increased significantly yesterday (17th) at night. Field monitoring shows that in the past 24 hours, heavy rain or rainstorm occurred in parts of central Sichuan Basin, southwestern Chongqing, northeastern Guizhou, central Hubei, northeastern Hunan, northwestern Jiangxi, southeastern Fujian and eastern Guangdong, and local rainfall in Chongqing Jiulongpo and Beibei exceeded 100 mm; The above-mentioned areas are accompanied by a wide range of lightning activities, with thunderstorms and strong winds of magnitude 8 or above in the local area and hail in the northwest of Guizhou.

  The Central Meteorological Observatory issued a blue rainstorm warning on the morning of the 18th: It is expected that this round of heavy rainfall in southern China will enter the strongest period from day to night, with heavy rains in parts of Hunan, Jiangxi, Anhui, Zhejiang, Fujian, Guangxi and Guangdong, and heavy rains (100-130 mm) in eastern Jiangxi, southwestern Zhejiang and northwestern Fujian. Some of the above areas are accompanied by short-term heavy rainfall (the maximum hourly rainfall is 20 ~ 50 mm, and the local area can exceed 60 mm), local thunderstorms and strong winds and other strong convective weather.

  Tomorrow, the heavy rainfall area will be pushed south to Fujian and Guangdong, and there will be heavy rain in southern Fujian and central Guangdong. Meteorologists reminded that in the coming week, there will be rainy weather in most parts of the south, and strong convection will occur frequently, and there will be a moderate to heavy rain on the 20 th to 23 rd. It is suggested that the public should pay close attention to the imminent forecast and early warning information released by the local meteorological department in time, do not go to high-risk areas such as mountainous areas during the concentrated rainfall period, and avoid going out during the active period of strong convection. Jiangxi, Zhejiang, Fujian and other places have high rainfall intensity and accumulated rainfall, so it is necessary to be alert to urban and rural waterlogging, flash floods and geological disasters that may be caused by local heavy rainfall.

  In addition, from 18th to 21st, a strong cold air will affect most parts of China from west to east. During the period, there were 4 ~ 6 winds in most parts of northwest China, North China, Northeast China, Huanghuai, Jianghan, Jianghuai and other places, with gusts of 7 ~ 9, and gusts in Shankou area of Xinjiang could reach 12; The average daily temperature in the above areas has dropped by 6 ~ 10℃ successively, and the temperature has dropped by 12 ~ 14℃ in some areas and above 16℃ locally. In addition to the windy and cool weather, in the next three days, there will be sand or dusty weather in eastern and southern Xinjiang, Qaidam Basin in Qinghai, Gansu, central and western Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, north-central Shaanxi, northern North China and western Northeast China, and sandstorms in eastern and southern Xinjiang and parts of western Inner Mongolia.

  The public in the above-mentioned areas should pay close attention to the temperature change, adjust their clothes in time, prevent the adverse effects of strong winds and dust on traffic and travel, and pay attention to the health risks of air pollution caused by dust weather on the human respiratory system.

A set of figures to understand the strategic thinking of the 14 th Five-Year Plan proposal

  This morning’s press conference in the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China introduced the drafting of "the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China’s Proposal on Formulating the 14th Five-year Plan for National Economic and Social Development and the Long-term Goals for the Year 2035". A set of figures will show you →

  A key

  The planning "Proposal" was formulated under the personal leadership of the Supreme Leader General Secretary.

  In March this year, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee decided that the Fifth Plenary Session of the 19th CPC Central Committee would consider the proposal of the 14th Five-Year Plan, and set up a document drafting group, with General Secretary of the Supreme Leader as the team leader and Li Keqiang, Wang Huning and Han Zheng as the deputy team leaders.

  In the past seven months, General Secretary of the Supreme Leader has presided over two Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party meetings, three The Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) meetings and two drafting group meetings to study and consider the overall framework, basic ideas, guiding principles and important contents of the draft of the Planning Proposal.

  General Secretary of the Supreme Leader delivered a series of important speeches and made many important instructions to grasp the general direction, determine the general idea and put forward the grand strategy for planning the drafting of the "Proposal".

  The General Secretary of the Supreme Leader personally made many in-depth investigations at local and grass-roots levels, personally listened to opinions and suggestions from all walks of life, personally revised the draft of the approval document for many times, made strategic planning, and devoted a lot of efforts to ensure that the drafting of the draft of the "Proposal" was completed with high quality.

  An important feature

  An important feature of the planning "Proposal" is to persist in promoting democracy, open the door and ask questions, and brainstorm.

  At the end of last year, General Secretary of the Supreme Leader asked the CPC Central Committee and relevant departments in the State Council to organize preliminary research on the economic and social development during the 14th Five-Year Plan. The Central Finance Office and the National Development and Reform Commission entrusted more than 60 research institutions and relevant departments, including national high-end think tanks, to carry out research on 37 major topics, resulting in more than 130 research reports. The National People’s Congress and Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference organized special research discussions and formed a series of research reports.

  In March and August this year, the CPC Central Committee twice solicited opinions within and outside the Party, and the drafting group carefully studied and absorbed the opinions and suggestions put forward by various regions, departments and relevant parties.

  At the beginning of August this year, the General Secretary of the Supreme Leader made important instructions to unify the strengthening of top-level design and the insistence on asking questions from the people, to encourage the broad masses of the people and all sectors of society to make suggestions in various ways, and to fully absorb social expectations, the wisdom of the masses, expert opinions and grassroots experience. Qi Xin worked together to compile the 14 th Five-Year Plan.

  From August 16th to 29th, the drafting of the 14th Five-Year Plan was solicited for comments online, which was the first time in the history of drafting documents of the Central Plenary Session. The broad masses of the people actively participated, and there were more than 1 million online messages, from which more than 1,000 opinions and suggestions were sorted out.

  From July to September, the General Secretary of the Supreme Leader presided over the symposium of non-party people, entrepreneurs, solidly promoting the integrated development of the Yangtze River Delta, experts in the economic and social fields, scientists, grassroots representatives and experts in the fields of education, culture, health and sports, and listened to opinions and suggestions from all sides in person. 

  Five principles

  First, handle the relationship between inheritance and innovation, and do a good job of organically connecting the goals of "two hundred years".

  The second is to handle the relationship between the government and the market and give full play to China’s institutional advantages.

  The third is to handle the relationship between openness and autonomy and better coordinate the two overall situations at home and abroad.

  The fourth is to properly handle the relationship between development and security, so as to ensure that there will be no systematic risks affecting the modernization process.

  The fifth is to handle the relationship between strategy and tactics, so as to be far-sighted and pragmatic. 

  Three major plates

  There are 15 parts in the planning proposal, which can be divided into three parts in general.

  The general part mainly expounds the achievements of building a well-off society in an all-round way, the development environment of our country, the long-term goal in 2035, the guiding ideology, principles and main goals during the 14 th Five-Year Plan period.

  The discussion part is generally organized according to the connotation of the new development concept, and expounds the key tasks of economic and social development and reform and opening up during the 14 th Five-Year Plan period in different fields.

  The last part mainly expounds strengthening the centralized and unified leadership of the CPC Central Committee and improving the planning mechanism to provide a strong guarantee for the implementation of the plan. 

  A logical main line

  After building a well-off society in an all-round way, to start a new journey of building a socialist modern country in an all-round way, we should scientifically grasp the new development stage, thoroughly implement the new development concept, speed up the construction of a new development pattern, take promoting high-quality development as the theme, and deepen the supply-side structural reform as the main line, so as to achieve economic stability, social stability and harmony, and make a good start for building a socialist modern country in an all-round way. 

  Three core essentials

  The core essence of the planning proposal is embodied in three "newness", namely, new development stage, new development concept and new development pattern.

Jiaozi, director of Ne Zha: Do animation with your heart.

  Chengdu High-tech South Zone, where cocoa bean animation is located, is a new economic vitality zone in Chengdu determined by the new round of planning in Chengdu. There are more than 600 online audiovisual and digital creative enterprises here. The industries of e-sports, games, animation, movies, music, literature and virtual reality are realizing cross-border integration, and the glory of the king has become a phenomenal mobile game developed locally. In 2018, the added value of network audio-visual and digital cultural and creative industries in Chengdu High-tech Zone reached 28 billion yuan, with an average annual growth rate of over 30%. Recently, the reporter from Chengdu Business Daily-Red Star exclusively visited the cocoa beans in the High-tech Zone. The behind-the-scenes production team of this popular film is relatively young, and most of the production teams of nearly 100 people are post-90s.

  Special effects artist

  "It takes time to make, and each one has to be reworked at least five or six times."

  Ma Liangshu, a 22-year-old graduate from sichuan university of media and communications, has been involved in the production of Ne Zha for about one year. He is mainly responsible for the special effects of characters, especially the hair of animated characters.

  Ma Liangshu introduced that there are more than a dozen people in their entire role special effects group, and the project of making hair is relatively large. He told reporters that Nezha is just a character, and there are probably more than one million hairs. "It takes a lot of time to make, and each one has to be reworked at least five or six times. The whole process of making it takes about one month, or even longer." "Director jiaozi sometimes has a particularly big brain hole, and it may be too big to keep up with the technology. For example, after Nezha’s demonization, he said that he would burn like a fire. At that time, you can only rely on your own imagination."

  In addition, it is understood that besides Ma Liangshu, there are nearly 20 students majoring in animation from sichuan university of media and communications Digital Media College who participated in the creation of "Nezha".

  3d model

  "Every bunch of grass must be placed according to the picture effect of each lens."

  Ding Lianjing is 23 years old. She used to study art design. This time, she is mainly responsible for the 3D model in animation. "The model is that before we watched the animation, there was a solid figure there, and the scene in which it was located. They are all models, and I am responsible for more scenes. Every picture in the movie, for example, every bunch of grass inside, must be placed according to the picture effect of each shot. "

  Director jiaozi in Ding Lianjing’s eyes is a person who pays great attention to details, and often gives them delicate opinions. "Maybe that thing is just a little bit of the movie screen, but he must strictly control it." Referring to the difficulty of this production, Ding Lianjing told reporters that the model work of each scene is very large. Some of the films involve scenes of ancient buildings in China, and they also have to collect a lot of information. "I am mainly responsible for the scene of Chentangguan. At that time, I confirmed the style of Chentangguan for a long time."

  animator

  "Make everything active and give them vitality."

  "Our job is to make everything active and give them vitality. What you see about their personalities and the expressions of emotions and sorrows are all made by our animators. " Shu Li, 26, told reporters that the way Nezha walked in the movie was shown by their hands. However, this job sounds interesting, and it is not easy to produce quality products. "What impressed me the most was the one who changed his body. It was made by our team leader who stayed up late for more than a month, and even found a lot of references."

  The reputation of the film is very good, which also makes Shu Li very emotional. "I think there are still people in China who are working so hard to do these things, which is very touching. I am especially glad that there are people like jiaozi, and I will continue to do this in the future."

  Director jiaozi:

  "The process of creating something out is unique."

  The predecessor of Chengdu Cocoa Bean is the well-known "Jiaokeli Animation Studio" in the industry. The team was founded in 2008. At the beginning of the business, there were only a few people in the studio. After ten years of development and growth, Cocoa Bean now has nearly 100 employees. The company aims to create top-class domestic original animation, and has now grown into a large-scale animation enterprise with the ability to create "movie-level" animation.

  Jiaozi was deeply touched when he led nearly 100 employees to polish Ne Zha after four years of seclusion. He said, "Animation should be done with care, with sincerity, and with the ability to overcome difficulties from all sides. I often ask myself, what if I persist for so long and finally get nothing?"? My heart answered me, in fact, I have got a lot, and the process of creating something is unique. "

  (Chengdu Business Daily-Red Star Journalist Zhang Shihao Intern Cao Fengjie Photojournalist Zhang Zhi)

How much pension can you get when you retire after 20 years? The official data is coming!

  If you retire in 20-30 years, how much pension can you expect to receive? The official data is coming! Yesterday, the national social insurance public service platform was put into trial operation. According to the experience of Beijing Youth Daily reporter, the platform not only needs to input relevant data such as my monthly payment salary and actual payment years, but also has three unknown variables such as "average salary growth rate of employees in the future (%)", "future personal account bookkeeping interest rate (%)" and "future payment salary growth rate (%)", so the calculation is not the actual pension amount, but more a scientific prediction for the future.

  The official helps you predict how much pension you will receive.

  The national social insurance public service platform (http://si.12333.gov.cn) has been put into trial operation. The platform can provide social security annual enrollment information inquiry, treatment qualification authentication, pension calculation, social security relationship transfer inquiry, remote medical inquiry, overseas exemption application, social security card and electronic social security card status inquiry, etc., all of which are national and cross-regional services.

  The website platform provides two registration methods, one is according to the ID number, and the other is according to the social security card and social security bank card.

  The reporter login test of Beiqing Daily takes only 1 minute, which is convenient and quick, from inputting information to inputting mobile phone number, waiting for receiving SMS password and completing registration.

  The registered login successfully entered the column of "Pension Calculation", and the webpage of "Calculation of Pension Insurance Benefits for Urban Employees" was displayed. You can select "Employees of Urban Enterprises", "Individual Industrial and Commercial Households or Flexible Employed Persons" according to the insured type, and the data can be automatically predicted.

  According to the information entered in the dialog box, the reporter of Beiqing Daily took a 40-year-old man as an example. The expected retirement age was 60 years, and the actual payment period was 15 years, which was deemed as the payment period of 15 years. At the end of last year, the personal account deposit was 180,000 yuan, and the average monthly salary of employees in the insured place (Beijing) last year was 8,467 yuan (released by the Statistics Bureau), and my monthly salary was 10,000 yuan, while "the average salary growth rate of employees in the future (%)" and According to systematic calculation, a 40-year-old man with a monthly income of 10,000 yuan will retire in 2039, with a monthly basic pension of 22,217 yuan.

  What is the "personal account bookkeeping interest rate"

  It is worth noting that the substitution of the three variables about future expectations will have a great impact on the prediction of future pensions.

  Let’s take a 30-year-old man as an example. He is expected to work until he is 60 years old, and his monthly salary is 20,000 yuan. If the average wage growth rate of employees in the future (%) and the future contribution wage growth rate (%) are 10% and 5% respectively, he may have a pension in the future by substituting 3%, 5% and 8% into the future personal account charging rate (%). That is to say, when retiring in 2049, the insured person’s expected monthly basic pension is about 59,000 yuan to 71,800 yuan.

  "Bookkeeping interest rate of personal account" directly affects the amount of future pension. The General Office of the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and the General Office of the Ministry of Finance issued the "Notice on Announcing the Bookkeeping Interest Rate of Personal Accounts of Basic Endowment Insurance for Employees in 2018", which announced that the bookkeeping interest rate of personal accounts of basic endowment insurance for urban employees (including basic endowment insurance for government institutions and enterprise employees) was 8.29% in 2018.

  Bank time deposit interest rate in 2018: one-year fixed annual interest rate is 1.75%, and three-year fixed annual interest rate is 2.75%; The average yield of some bank wealth management products is about 4%. This means that under the same principal, the interest income of personal account of endowment insurance is 4.73 times that of regular deposit in the bank for one year and 2.03 times that of purchasing bank wealth management products.

  The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security pointed out that the bookkeeping interest rate of individual accounts for employees’ basic old-age insurance is announced by the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and the Ministry of Finance every year. The determination of bookkeeping interest rate mainly considers factors such as employee salary growth and fund balance, and is adjusted through reasonable coefficients, which shall not be lower than the bank time deposit interest rate.

  The reporter of Beiqing Daily noted that in 2016 and 2017, the bookkeeping interest rates of personal accounts of basic old-age insurance for urban employees (including basic old-age insurance for government institutions and enterprise employees) were 8.31% and 7.12%, respectively, which were much higher than the deposit interest rates of banks in the same period.

  There are also functions such as querying the status of social security cards.

  It is reported that the platform will first provide the functions of social security annual enrollment information inquiry, treatment qualification authentication, pension calculation, social security relationship transfer inquiry, medical consultation in different places, overseas exemption application, social security card and electronic social security card status inquiry, etc., to achieve nationwide cross-regional services.

  At present, 25 provinces have completed the docking of some areas with the national social insurance public service platform, and 22 provinces provide pension insurance benefits calculation services. Among them, 13 provinces will also provide personalized measurement services.

  Data show that by the end of June, the number of people participating in basic pension, unemployment and work-related injury insurance in China was 947 million, 200 million and 245 million respectively, an increase of 4.43 million, 3.28 million and 6.5 million respectively over the end of last year.

  Text/reporter Yan Lishuang

  Coordinator/Yu Meiying

Geely Xingyue L launched a new model, and the configuration of "Xingyun" and "Oriental Obsidian Today Edition" was upgraded.

Geely Automobile recently announced that its popular fuel SUV series will welcome two brand-new models-"Xingyun Edition" and "Dongfang Yao Today Edition". Both new models are equipped with powerful 2.0TD high-power engines, providing consumers with more choices.

At present, the market guidance price range of Geely Xingyue L series is 137,200 yuan to 185,200 yuan, while the guidance price of Xingyue L Dongfang Yao is between 169,700 yuan and 179,700 yuan. The launch of new models will undoubtedly further enrich the product line of Xingyue L series.

In terms of appearance design, both "Xingyun Edition" and "Dongfang Yao Today Edition" continue the classic style of Xingyue L series. The streamlined body and the traditional handlebar complement each other and show a unique charm. However, in terms of interior and configuration, the two new models have their own advantages.

"Xingyun Edition" adds a famous tea brown color scheme to the interior, creating a warm and elegant driving atmosphere. The car is also equipped with Mobius 8 speaker audio, light and shadow sunglasses, sun visor, driver’s seat massage and other luxury configurations. The passenger seat has also been fully upgraded, including 4-way electric adjustment, seat memory function and queen’s passenger seat design with one-button flattening/recovery. At the same time, the car is also equipped with mobile phone wireless charging (50W), multiple USB interfaces, original high-definition driving recorder and a number of intelligent driving assistance systems, such as FCW front collision warning and BSD blind area monitoring, etc., to provide all-round safety protection for drivers and passengers.

"Oriental Obsidian Today Edition" pays more attention to the integration of science and technology and luxury. The interior is decorated with Shaohua apricot color matching and four-door surround 72-color atmosphere lights, creating a fantastic driving space. At the same time, the car is also equipped with high-end configurations such as crystal handles, crystal knobs and Yanfei Lishi 12 speaker audio, so that drivers and passengers can enjoy unparalleled luxury experience while enjoying music. The addition of AR-HUD augmented reality head-up display system makes it more convenient for drivers to obtain vehicle information during driving.

In terms of cockpit, both new models continue the excellent design of the L series of Xingyue, equipped with a 12.3-inch full LCD instrument and a 12.3-inch dual screen, so that drivers can grasp the vehicle information at a glance. At the same time, the new car also uses a crystal electronic shift lever and function knob, which enhances the overall sense of luxury. The new car has also added a series of physical keys, and it is decorated with wooden decorative boards, which makes the cockpit more beautiful and practical.

In terms of power, both new models are equipped with 2.0TD high-power engines, with a maximum power of 175 kW and a peak torque of 350 Nm. The transmission system is matched with an 8-speed automatic manual transmission, which brings a smoother driving experience for drivers.

Can "internet plus" make immovable cultural relics move?


  In March this year, the "internet plus" action plan mentioned in the State Council’s "Government Work Report" is trying to create a new engine for economic transformation and upgrading. Under the background of "making cultural relics alive", can high technologies such as mobile Internet and cloud computing realize cultural relics in internet plus, make precious cultural heritage "move" beyond effective protection, and play its role in cultural inheritance? 

  Immovable cultural relics should also "speak"

  The number of immovable cultural relics in Sichuan ranks among the top in China, but most of them still remain at the level of how to protect them. Although some of them are well-known tourist attractions, they still can’t dig deep into the cultural connotation, and they exist in isolation in the form of points, which can’t exert their greatest cultural value.

  In the eyes of cultural protection experts, these silent cultural relics have a lot of value for excavation and utilization. The ancient murals of Baofan Temple in Pengxi, Sichuan, Kannonji in Xinjin, Jueyuan Temple in Guangyuan, and Hoonji in Pingwu, with bright and beautiful colors and the brushwork of Wu Daidang, are rare treasures in the study of ancient murals. Traditional villages with different styles and ages, such as Taoping Qiangzhai, Luxian Qushi Manor, Gulin Erlang Hongjun Street, are also unique in site selection, planning and spatial layout, which highly embodies the idea of "harmony between man and nature" or the value orientation of harmonious coexistence between man and nature, and enriches the connotation of traditional culture; Sanxingdui, Jinsha, Dujiangyan, Leshan Giant Buddha, Wuhou Temple, Jianmen Shudao and other cultural relics have attracted a steady stream of tourists because of the history and culture behind them.

  It has become a subject worthy of attention for the protection and utilization of cultural relics to make immovable cultural relics alive and explore their profound connotations.

  Excavation and utilization are far from enough.

  An embarrassing reality is that the display and utilization of the current immovable cultural relics is actually far from enough.

  Careful tourists will find that many ancient towns are the same. Taking Luodai ancient town as an example, its hall building is exquisitely carved, which has high artistic appreciation value. As for Huanglongxi, its 1,700-year historical changes also have a unique flavor. However, due to the lack of in-depth excavation and accurate presentation of cultural connotations in these ancient towns, their attraction to tourists is greatly reduced.

  There are similar shortcomings in the use of traditional villages.

  The traditional villages in China can be called "one village, one style". For example, in Lizhai Village, Taizhou, Zhejiang Province, the "Xi"-shaped Lijia Mansion integrates the Confucian ideal of "cultivating oneself and helping the family to help the world", and the folk houses in western Sichuan are also simple and elegant. However, among the nearly 100 traditional villages in China in Sichuan, the cultural connotations of the other traditional villages have not been fully explored except for the distinctive styles in ethnic minority areas.

  As for more immovable cultural relics such as ancient buildings and celebrities’ former residences, some are inconvenient to hide boudoir, while others are limited to signs without special exhibitions, which greatly reduces their appeal. Langzhong Eianji is a national key cultural relic protection unit. The painted paintings and murals in the temple are lifelike, but there are few tourists because of the inconvenient transportation. However, Kannonji and other murals in Xinjin are the best, but they are not attractive to tourists in non-art industries and lack the perception channels in the information network era because of the lack of corresponding introduction and all-round exhibition including Internet means. As for the former residences of various celebrities, Zhan Chen only stays in putting some pots and pans, which makes people feel aesthetic fatigue. Therefore, how to tell and spread the story behind the cultural relics through digital means needs our serious consideration.

  The "moving" of immovable cultural relics should be more actively considered.

  How to "move" immovable cultural relics? There is no fixed standard in the world, but it also gives cultural relics workers a space to try and explore boldly.

  In addition to the use protection, can ancient towns and traditional villages not only let tourists know their history, but also have a more intuitive understanding of their architecture, paintings and living concepts through modern technology? In fact, these can be done. "For example, we can display the historical value of cultural relics through touch screens or exhibition boards. Visitors can learn the story behind the cultural relics in detail through simple equipment such as headphones. This kind of information provided by professionals is more authoritative and charming. " As for the former residence of celebrities, it is entirely possible to innovate in the exhibition. "If modern technology can be used to restore the life scenes of celebrities in those years? Can you make tourists feel more immersive? " As for more immovable cultural relics, it is necessary to dig deep and refine the cultural connotation, and make full use of advanced science and technology such as GIS, HTML5, APP, 3D panorama, mobile internet, big data, cloud computing, and multi-dimensional display terminal devices such as LED big screen, PC, smart phone, PAD, touch screen and smart TV, so as to achieve the widest public service, public participation and interaction, and make the jade shine with irreplaceable cultural value of cultural relics.

  Can the Internet Plus Cultural Heritage?

  At present, "internet plus" is being connected with various fields in an orderly way to stimulate greater economic vitality. And can "internet plus Cultural Heritage" make immovable cultural relics "live"?

  This is obviously a direction that can be explored.

  Nowadays, Dunhuang and the Forbidden City have restricted the flow of tourists because of the need to protect cultural relics. However, the integration of internet technology can not only make it easy for tourists to book tickets online, but also recreate a virtual Dunhuang or the Forbidden City, so that cultural relics lovers can visit online without leaving home. The insiders believe that the access of this technology will not only affect the tourist flow in scenic spots, but also make the public closer to cultural relics through the network and give them more impulse and desire to experience on the spot. For many cultural relics that are scattered in the countryside, but also have great value, they can also be radiant and recognized by more people through the Internet. At the same time, with the support of mature e-commerce operation concept and technology, we will carry out market-oriented marketing and promotion of related cultural relics, activities and peripheral products, and bring a large number of cultural and creative products and related services developed by cultural relics to the market through "internet plus Cultural Industry", so that the public can easily explore and enjoy the wisdom and rich achievements left by ancient ancestors through them, and gradually form a good situation of deep integration and development of cultural undertakings and cultural industries.

  Nowadays, the protection of cultural relics has been paid more and more attention. However, in order for the immovable cultural relics that have condensed China’s culture for thousands of years to truly play its role of cultural inheritance, it is necessary not only for all parties to increase investment in manpower, material resources and financial resources to escort, but also for cultural relics to actively think, boldly use new technologies and new thinking, and integrate innovative ideas into the development of cultural undertakings and the protection and utilization of cultural heritage, so that immovable cultural relics can develop in protection and protection in development, and write a beautiful picture of urbanization and historical relics developing together.

  Wuhou Temple asked Liu Bei to be a "tour guide"

  In Wuhou Temple, a national key cultural relics protection unit, you can listen to the tour guide’s explanation as long as you scan the QR code and add WeChat. Visitors only need to send "Liu Bei" to WeChat, and a brief introduction of Liu Bei will be sent to tourists’ mobile phones. In addition to answering the cultural questions of the Three Kingdoms, the "handheld tour guide" can also make suggestions on various issues such as transportation and food, and lead the audience to travel in depth. In addition, Wuhou Temple also uses augmented reality technology to create a "photo-crossing artifact". Through this "artifact", tourists can take photos with the cartoon version of Zhuge Liang and Guan Yunchang, so that the tourist experience in Wuhou Temple can be upgraded.

  Sansu Temple enhances interactive experience.

  Sansu Temple, a national key cultural relics protection unit that experienced the reconstruction of the "4.20" Lushan earthquake, will also make efforts to enhance the tourist experience. In addition to statues, there are comic books, comic books and other books that show the history of the "Three Sus". In order to increase the interaction of tourists, the touch screen on the scene can enjoy the poems of Sansu and participate in poetry competitions. Su Dongpo’s "Niannujiao Chibi Nostalgia" and other timeless masterpieces will also be transformed into roaring rivers and towering peaks in the multimedia hall, with the cooperation of sound, light and electricity, so that tourists can feel the artistic conception of poetry.

  There is still room for excavation of cultural relics such as the Giant Buddha in Rongxian County.

  Leshan Giant Buddha is the world’s largest stone carving Buddha, which is well-known in the world. But in Sichuan, Rongxian Giant Buddha, as the world’s largest Sakyamuni Buddha and the world’s second largest stone carving Buddha, is little known. There is still a lot of work to be done to make such valuable immovable cultural relics "live". Taking Rongxian Giant Buddha as an example, it is not impossible for professionals to systematically explore its cultural connotation, bring forth the old and bring forth the new in the concept of exhibition, supplemented by propaganda and offensive, so that Rongxian Giant Buddha can enhance the local tourism economy.

Authoritative experts respond to hot issues in Covid-19.

  [Report from the press conference of the State Council Office]  

  Guangming Daily, Beijing, July 22nd, by Guangming Daily reporter Yuan Yufei

  On July 22nd, the State Council held a press conference on the traceability of Covid-19. Xu Nanping, Vice Minister of Science and Technology, Ceng Yixin, Deputy Director of the National Health and Wellness Commission, Wang Chen, Vice President of China Academy of Engineering, Dean of Peking Union Medical College and Director of the National Respiratory Medicine Center, Liang Wannian, Chinese leader of the China-World Health Organization joint research group on Covid-19 traceability, Yuan Zhiming, director of Wuhan National Biosafety Laboratory of Chinese Academy of Sciences and researcher of Wuhan Institute of Virology, and other authoritative experts actively responded to the hot issues of the traceability of the new coronavirus concerned by Chinese and foreign media.

Authoritative experts respond to hot issues in Covid-19.

  On July 21, at a testing point in Xuanwu District, Nanjing, medical staff were conducting nucleic acid testing and sampling for the citizens. Xinhua News Agency reporter Ji Chunpeng photo

  Q: Is the report on global traceability in Covid-19 released by the World Health Organization on March 30th authoritative?

  Ceng Yixin:The problem of virus traceability is a complex scientific problem. Since the outbreak of the epidemic, every responsible country and every responsible scientist is eager to find out the source of Covid-19. This is of great significance to prevent similar epidemics from happening again.

  On March 30th this year, the World Health Organization officially released the joint research report "Global Traceability Research in Covid-19: Part of China" convened by WHO, and the global traceability research made a good start.

  Governments, scientists and the media all over the world are very concerned about this report. Since its release a few months ago, more and more scientific evidence shows that this report is valuable, authoritative and can stand the test of science and history. The conclusion of the report is scientific, and the process of production always adheres to scientific principles.

  This traceability research report is the China part of the global traceability research. The expert group draws the following conclusions: Coronavirus, which is closely related to Covid-19, has the highest homology with Covid-19 in terms of sequence, but these viruses are still not enough to prove that they are the direct ancestors of Covid-19, and there is still a certain gap. Combined with the research results of clinical epidemiology, animal and environmental detection, the joint expert group finally determined several possibilities for the virus to appear: the first one is "possible to relatively possible", and zoonosis directly overflows, that is, it directly overflows from animal hosts to people. The second is "more likely to be very likely", which is introduced through an intermediate host. Generally speaking, the natural host of the virus is an animal, and then it transits to people through the intermediate host. The third is "possibility", which is introduced through the cold chain. In some sporadic epidemics in various places last year, it was found that cold chain transmission may introduce viruses. The last one is the introduction of "extremely unlikely" in the laboratory.

  In the next stage, the traceability work should be carried out under the overall coordination of WHO, and on the basis of the first stage of research, excellent experts from many countries should be organized to carry out in-depth work, scientists should be the mainstay, exchanges and cooperation should be strengthened, and the traceability work in Covid-19 should be carried out on a scientific track.

  Q: Is Covid-19 naturally produced or caused by human factors?

  Ceng Yixin:I really want to talk about my views on the second phase of the virus traceability plan released by WHO on July 15th. To tell you the truth, I was very surprised. Because in this plan, the hypothesis that "China violated laboratory regulations and caused virus leakage" is one of the research focuses. From this point, I can feel the disrespect for common sense and arrogant attitude towards science revealed in this plan. It is impossible for us to accept such a traceability plan.

  What is the purpose of traceability? It is to find out the source of the virus and then take effective measures to prevent similar epidemics from happening again. Therefore, we must promote this work in accordance with scientific principles and rules. This is the attitude of the China Municipal Government.

  So far, none of the staff and graduate students of Wuhan Institute of Virology has been infected with COVID-19. Wuhan Institute of Virology has not carried out research on the gain function of coronavirus, and there is no so-called artificial virus. So where did the virus leak due to violation of laboratory regulations come from? Therefore, this formulation violates both common sense and scientific laws. More importantly, the WHO expert group personally visited Wuhan Virus Institute, and reached the conclusion that the virus is extremely unlikely to be leaked from the laboratory. They are all very authoritative and experienced experts in various fields carefully selected by WHO. So we should respect their conclusions.

  Yuan Zhiming:The Wuhan Institute of Virology has repeatedly responded to the rumors about the leakage of virus laboratories. Covid-19 originated from nature, which has become a general consensus in academic circles. I want to emphasize that before December 30, 2019, Wuhan Institute of Virology had not contacted, preserved or studied Covid-19. Wuhan Virus Research Institute has never designed, manufactured or leaked Covid-19.

  Facing the sudden outbreak of COVID-19, Wuhan Institute of Virology quickly identified novel coronavirus with the advantages of platform, technology and talents accumulated for a long time, isolated the virus strain, determined the whole genome sequence, and submitted the whole genome sequence to the United Nations World Health Organization on January 12, 2020. These important research results have provided a foundation for the global antiviral drug screening and vaccine research, and also won time for the global fight against the epidemic.

  Q: Is the original data of early communication in Wuhan public?

  Yuan Zhiming:The structure and content of the database of Wuhan Institute of Virology are still in the process of continuous improvement. At present, the database is shared within Wuhan Institute of Virology. After analyzing and systematically sorting out some original data in the database, the staff will publish the research results in the form of papers, and display and retrieve them in the database in a visual way. After analyzing and sorting out the original data of scientific research, it will be published in the form of papers, and then the database will be made public. This is the practice of scientific and technological circles, and the Institute of Virology will strictly follow the rules of scientific and technological circles to display and share our scientific data.

  Wuhan Institute of Virology has always insisted on the timely sharing of scientific research information, and we released the whole genome sequence to the World Health Organization in time. As early as February 3, 2020, Shi Zhengli’s research team published a research paper in Nature, proposing that Covid-19 came from nature. After we found that several drugs have antiviral activity at the cellular level, we published the research results in international magazines on February 4. At the same time, Wuhan Virus Research Institute also actively participated in the international video and audio conference held by the World Health Organization, and timely shared our research results in animal model establishment, antiviral drug screening, inactivated vaccine development in COVID-19, etc.

  Q: What do you think about the possibility of virus spread caused by trade in cold chain products?

  Wang Chen:The role of cold chain in the spread of infectious diseases is a new phenomenon. From Beijing Xinfadi epidemic situation and Qingdao epidemic situation, we can see such a close relationship, that is, the patients have been exposed to the cold chain, and no other possible virus sources have been found outside the cold chain.

  In the detection of virus nucleic acid, cold chain goods nucleic acid detection is positive. Especially in the Qingdao epidemic, not only the virus nucleic acid positive was detected on the surface of cold chain items, but also the virus was isolated and cultured, which confirmed that there was a live virus on the surface of cold chain items. Combining these two points, the chain of evidence is gradually complete.

  In the process of further virus traceability, we especially suggest that the cold chain should be regarded as a key traceability clue. At present, under the background of international trade, people and goods exchange frequently all over the world, and people in the cold chain environment — The spread of things has increased the complexity, which is particularly worthy of investigation and research.

  Guangming Daily (July 23, 2021, 09 edition)

Animal hibernation will have a negative effect on chromosomes: accelerating cell death.

  Science and Technology Daily, Beijing, October 17 (Reporter Gu Gang) Many mammals spend the cold season by hibernating. The lower the body temperature of hibernating animals, the more energy consumption can be reduced. But this is not all good. A recent study by the Veterinary University in Vienna, Austria, found that lower temperature tends to increase telomere contraction, which may accelerate cell death. To avoid this result, animals need to consume a lot of energy to repair cells.

  Researchers have found that during hibernation, mammals with lower body temperature can reduce their physical exertion by more than 90%. In the absence of food, reducing energy consumption is very beneficial to the survival of animals. However, animal hibernation at low temperature can cause problems such as telomere contraction. In the experiment of forest Dormouse and garden Dormouse, it was found that Dormouse wintering at higher body temperature has longer telomeres, but it also consumes more energy. Researcher Julia Novak explained: "This seems to be a compromise between maintaining complete telomeres and cell survival, and minimizing energy consumption by hibernating at low body temperature."

  The researchers also found that there are significant differences in telomere shortening between forest Dormouse and garden Dormouse when they hibernate at different temperatures. They were put into hibernation at 3℃ and 14℃ respectively in the laboratory. Dormouse consumes more energy at 14℃ than at 3℃, while chromosome telomeres are much better at 14℃. This new understanding supports the widely accepted hypothesis that hibernation also has a price.

  Novak believes: "Deep hibernation is related to the cost at the cellular level, that is to say, the recovery of telomere length after shortening must be at the expense of animal physical consumption. Previous scientific assumptions may overestimate the benefits of deep hibernation in animals that can reduce physical exertion. "

  Although hibernation has many advantages, the research also found that it has related problems. Due to the decline of immune function, slow response and increased oxidative stress, frequent awakening of animals from hibernation will also lead to a rapid reduction of energy reserves, and the up-regulation of metabolism is related to the production of reactive oxygen compounds, which will lead to a faster shortening of telomeres.

  The length of telomeres is usually used as a sign of aging, which shortens after each somatic cell division. If its length cannot be recovered, the cell will eventually die. During hibernation, telomere recovery is destroyed.

  This study is also of great significance to human medicine. Studies have shown that chronic human stress will accelerate telomere shortening. On the contrary, lifestyle changes will slow down telomere shortening, which will have a positive impact on the aging process of cells and the whole organism.

Super "Power Player" Star Way Star Era ET is coming!

In today’s automobile market, the rise of new energy vehicles has become a major trend in the industry. As a new force in China’s new energy automobile market, Xingtu Automobile has launched its first brand-new medium and large SUV-Xingtu Xingjiyuan ET. On May 9, the car was officially launched. This time, eight models were launched, with the price range of 189,800 yuan to 319,800 yuan, and there were multiple car purchase benefits.

The length, width and height of Xingjiyuan ET are 4955/1975/1698mm and the wheelbase is 3000mm, respectively, and it is positioned as a medium and large SUV. In appearance, Star Road Star Era ET continues the consistent design concept of "Great Beauty and Minimalism" of Star Road Automobile, and adopts a closed front face design with through daytime running lights and LED headlights, which adds a sense of avant-garde to the vehicle. In addition, the body design is tough and powerful, equipped with 19/21 inch optional wheels, which enhances the fashionable and dynamic atmosphere. The luxurious texture of the tail design, the sporty semi-enclosed rear window spoiler shape, and the blackened through taillight group further enhance the layering and sporty atmosphere of the vehicle. On the whole, Star Road Star Era ET pays attention to the polishing of details in the design, showing the fashion and dynamics of new energy vehicles.

In terms of interior, Star Road Star Era ET adopts a modern and simple style, equipped with a 10.25-inch full LCD dashboard and a 15.6-inch central control car screen, which integrates the Star Road OS in-vehicle intelligent system. In terms of configuration, it also provides a number of configurations such as oversized canopy, leather steering wheel heating, mobile phone Bluetooth key, electric tailgate position memory, etc., which improves the driving experience. The overall design is simple and atmospheric, and the functional configuration is rich and practical, which meets the expectations of consumers for the interior of medium and large SUVs.

Star Road Star Era ET provides two power systems: extended range version and pure electric version. Among them, the pure electric version provides two modes: rear-drive single motor and four-wheel drive dual motor. The whole region adopts 800V high-voltage architecture. The rear-drive version adopts the maximum power of 230kW and the maximum torque of 425Nm. The Ultra version has a comprehensive power of 413kW and the maximum torque of 691Nm. The time from 0 to 100 km/h is only 3.8s s. Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited Shenxing super-charged battery pack with two capacities of 77kWh and 100kWh is provided. The maximum cruising range of CLTC is 760km, and it can last 400km after charging for 10 minutes.

The extended range version is equipped with a 1.5T range extender and a rear-drive single motor. The maximum power of the single motor is 195kW, the maximum torque is 324Nm, the CLTC pure electric cruising range is 200km, and the CLTC comprehensive cruising range can reach 1518km. I have to mention that in a recent extreme endurance test, the extended-range version of Star Era ET ran 2,141.4 kilometers with full fuel and electricity! In terms of power output and endurance performance, the competitiveness of Star Road Star Era ET is not strong, and it is a proper strength player.

In the medium and large SUV market, the Star Road Star Era ET will face fierce competition, especially the L7/L8 of LI and the M7 of Wenjie Automobile, which continue to be popular in the medium and large SUV market. No matter the sales volume, quality or word of mouth, these models can bring full pressure to Star Era ET, so it is more difficult to stand out in the price range of 200,000-400,000 yuan.

The official listing of Star Road Star Era ET indicates that the development of new energy vehicle market in China has entered a new stage. As a brand-new medium and large SUV model, Star Road Star Era ET has shown outstanding competitiveness in appearance design, interior configuration and power system. However, in the highly competitive market environment, Xingtu Automobile still needs continuous efforts to enhance brand awareness and market reputation in order to win the favor of consumers. It is believed that with the passage of time, Star Road Star Era ET will open a new chapter in the China automobile market and lead the new trend of medium and large SUVs.